Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.354262 0.384009 0.416017 0.453176 0.495329 0.541900 0.597570
2025-11-23 0.301184 0.341950 0.388932 0.447734 0.520301 0.608216 0.724844
2025-11-30 0.275449 0.322768 0.379969 0.455556 0.554960 0.684503 0.872021
2025-12-07 0.253134 0.303542 0.366667 0.453608 0.573806 0.740076 0.999444
2025-12-14 0.235602 0.287845 0.355187 0.451208 0.589790 0.791910 1.129788
2025-12-21 0.218170 0.270406 0.339270 0.440186 0.590982 0.820800 1.228583
2025-12-28 0.210733 0.265370 0.339223 0.450864 0.624528 0.903397 1.436019
2026-01-04 0.202789 0.258861 0.336307 0.456613 0.650622 0.977537 1.647670
2026-01-11 0.194252 0.250819 0.330392 0.456936 0.667560 1.038197 1.849893
2026-01-18 0.184213 0.239957 0.319491 0.448312 0.668180 1.068940 1.996741
2026-01-25 0.173775 0.227912 0.306009 0.434344 0.657811 1.076931 2.093306
2026-02-01 0.166176 0.219578 0.297555 0.427758 0.659620 1.108870 2.259179
2026-02-08 0.158908 0.211568 0.289415 0.421551 0.662410 1.145451 2.458009
2026-02-15 0.152259 0.204187 0.281864 0.415829 0.665676 1.184324 2.683037
2026-02-22 0.149000 0.201704 0.281774 0.422801 0.694026 1.284323 3.146919
2026-03-01 0.144132 0.196498 0.276988 0.421048 0.704775 1.345865 3.521670
2026-03-08 0.139551 0.191501 0.272224 0.418893 0.714360 1.406684 3.935838
2026-03-15 0.133771 0.184377 0.263588 0.408988 0.706468 1.421388 4.175592
2026-03-22 0.132127 0.183650 0.265442 0.418584 0.741594 1.558362 5.076618
2026-03-29 0.129750 0.181635 0.264992 0.423746 0.767605 1.677597 6.036599
2026-04-05 0.126658 0.178329 0.262153 0.424037 0.782487 1.768471 6.963811
2026-04-12 0.122385 0.172945 0.255475 0.416292 0.777505 1.796753 7.532399
2026-04-19 0.117543 0.166474 0.246648 0.403733 0.759692 1.780241 7.771465